Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.146550 0.165370 0.185117 0.207327 0.231559 0.257142 0.286138
2025-02-16 0.120932 0.146269 0.174245 0.207246 0.244921 0.286403 0.335335
2025-02-23 0.106016 0.136091 0.170766 0.213307 0.263677 0.321001 0.390735
2025-03-02 0.090031 0.122346 0.161156 0.210525 0.270943 0.341750 0.430232
2025-03-09 0.078406 0.112316 0.154587 0.210133 0.280110 0.364228 0.471776
2025-03-16 0.068463 0.103163 0.147974 0.208662 0.287173 0.383734 0.509733
2025-03-23 0.062464 0.098465 0.146428 0.213108 0.301348 0.411986 0.558827
2025-03-30 0.055803 0.092085 0.141957 0.213108 0.309367 0.432323 0.598178
2025-04-06 0.049980 0.086247 0.137630 0.212761 0.316537 0.451401 0.636050
2025-04-13 0.044940 0.081017 0.133646 0.212428 0.323393 0.469936 0.673358
2025-04-20 0.041138 0.077269 0.131433 0.214273 0.333037 0.492158 0.715766
2025-04-27 0.038511 0.075101 0.131318 0.218970 0.346613 0.519808 0.765808
2025-05-04 0.034924 0.071164 0.128456 0.219772 0.355131 0.541425 0.809199
2025-05-11 0.032188 0.068377 0.127141 0.222730 0.366741 0.567515 0.859221
2025-05-18 0.030790 0.067773 0.129200 0.230835 0.386026 0.604692 0.925189
2025-05-25 0.027527 0.063457 0.124901 0.228789 0.390128 0.620489 0.961830
2025-06-01 0.024999 0.060213 0.122102 0.228864 0.397258 0.640607 1.004761
2025-06-08 0.022500 0.056729 0.118610 0.227557 0.402107 0.657407 1.043204
2025-06-15 0.021218 0.055520 0.118953 0.232459 0.416565 0.688388 1.102290
2025-06-22 0.019338 0.052858 0.116505 0.232538 0.423406 0.708239 1.145693
2025-06-29 0.017583 0.050243 0.113930 0.232210 0.429489 0.726984 1.187722
2025-07-06 0.015993 0.047791 0.111456 0.231877 0.435455 0.745572 1.229745
2025-07-13 0.014822 0.046142 0.110372 0.233864 0.445153 0.769905 1.280529